Wholesale gas and electricity prices rose sharply on Wednesday with the continuing geopolitical uncertainty. We expect this to continue in the coming days.
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Gas: NBP prices saw large gains yesterday afternoon after the Ukrainian army entered Russian territory, capturing a gas treatment plant. Fears of a US recession and worries over escalating tensions in the Middle East added further bullish factors. Power: Power prices followed the movement of NBP contracts during yesterday’s session. Forecasts of stronger wind outputs did little to outweigh market anxiety stoked by increasing geopolitical tensions. Oil: Prices rallied yesterday, partly due to geopolitical tension and partly due to US inventory data showing a large draw in stocks. Calls for the US to fill their strategic oil reserves would have brought further bullish sentiment. Carbon (EU ETS): The ICE Dec-24 settled at €70.57/t yesterday. The contract is currently trading at €70.51/t this morning. Carbon (UKAs): The ICE Dec-24 rose to £38.15/t yesterday. The contract is trading at £38.09/t at the time of writing. |
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